Weekly Market Update

Survival of the Fittest Small Companies

September 17, 2024

Global small companies are well positioned in the current environment to deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns across a range of economic scenarios. Valuations for small companies have come down significantly and now sit below those of large companies - an uncommon situation historically that sets up small companies for higher expected returns going forward.

In the event of an economic slowdown or recession, the market tends to look forward, with small companies beginning to outperform even as the economy bottoms out. This means the economic cyclicality of small companies is often somewhat lagged. Having already experienced a "rolling recession" and earnings downturn, many small companies may be poised to lead the way in an eventual recovery.

But it's not just about playing the cycle. It's also about fundamental resilience at the company level. This is where active management and careful stock selection like that practised by Langdon Equity Partners can add significant value. Greg Dean, Portfolio Manager at Langdon Equity Partners, describes how they focus on finding "businesses compounding earnings at sensible multiples". That is, companies with resilient business models that are able to steadily grow earnings across a variety of macro environments.

This emphasis on company-specific resilience is critical because as Greg points out, whether we technically enter a recession or not, what matters most is what is happening "at the business level". Many of Langdon Equity Partners portfolio companies are now pivoting from an inward focus on controlling costs to an outward focus on strategic opportunities. With stronger balance sheets and more efficient operations than peers, these companies are well-equipped to take market share and make opportunistic acquisitions. It's a "survival of the fittest" environment that will see strong operators extend their lead.

Langdon Equity Partners intense focus on company fundamentals and sensitivity to valuation should help the portfolio weather volatility and compound returns over time. As Dean explains, they are highly selective, passing on companies with impaired earnings power in favour of those that can deliver sustainable growth across a range of scenarios. They also dynamically manage position sizes, trimming winners as they become more fully valued to control risk.

While not making a specific call on the economy, we believe this combination of attractive small companies valuations and Langdon Equity Partners focus on high-quality, resilient companies has the potential to deliver solid through-the-cycle returns. In an uncertain world, allocating to the "fittest" small companies that are built to survive and thrive could provide both portfolio resilience and 'alpha'.

Long-Term Opportunity in Emerging Markets

June 4, 2025
Read More

Markets Digest Mixed Signals Amid Tariff Uncertainty

June 4, 2025
Read More

Same Market, Different Realities: What Today’s Conditions Mean for Different Investor Types

May 28, 2025
Read More

Markets Whipsaw on Trade Tensions and Tariff Reprieves

May 28, 2025
Read More

Markets Climb Despite Debt Downgrade and Economic Worries

May 27, 2025
Read More

Navigating an Uncertain Market Landscape with Economist Andrew Hunt

May 20, 2025
Read More

Recap of 2023: Two Stories With The Same Ending

January 30, 2025
This week started with more optimism about the US economy and further stock market gains until a sharp pullback on Wednesday snapped the US market’s nine-session winning streak. Thursday then saw a recovery, putting the S&P 500 back on track for an eighth week of gains, after US inflation data showed a gradual economic cooling in line with Fed hopes.
Read More

Santa (Powell) Has Come Early For Markets

January 30, 2025
The last week in markets, as is often the case, was totally dominated by the US economy and monetary policy. In this case it was an encouraging inflation print on Wednesday, followed by the US Fed’s decision to keep rates on hold the next day.
Read More

Big Tech Flexes Its Muscles With Late Week Surge

January 30, 2025
It was a mixed week in global financial markets as the market continued to assess the likelihood of a hard or soft landing next year and the implication for inflation and interest
Read More

Booming Small Caps to Bond Spreads Tightening

January 30, 2025
It was a mildly positive week for global markets, with the S&P/ASX 300 gaining 0.7%. International developed markets were down 0.4% in AUD terms as measured by the MSCI World ex-Australia index.
Read More

Altman Drama Shakes Up Silicon Valley

January 30, 2025
It has seemed all week that, in quiet US holiday trading, the only thing moving markets was the ‘will they/won’t they’ speculation about the future role of OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman.
Read More

Markets Trek Higher on Approach to Peak Inflation

January 30, 2025
Stocks continued their strong November rally this week, as hopes grew that inflation has peaked and the Fed is nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle. The S&P 500 rose 1.9% on Tuesday following the cooler than expected US CPI print, bringing its gains for the month so far to 7%.
Read More
No items found.
No items found.
No items found.
Icon of a letter

InvestSense insights, delivered straight to your inbox.

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news

Icon of a letter

Get the latest industry news